No other scenarios are needed. No other math needs be done. For Calvert, it's simple. If you want back in the playoffs, beat Hopewell-Loudon.
Even with a loss, Calvert still has some hope, but that would include a lot of "ifs". The easiest path to week 11 for the Senecas is simply to win. But that win has to come against one of Calvert's fiercest rivals.
"We've done the math and know we have to win to continue," Calvert coach Todd Fox said. "We said it last week starting after the loss to St. Joe, that every week was a playoff game. So this week's no different.
"Hopewell-Loudon is a definite rivalry. I think a team with that strong tradition that they have, it's a natural rivalry in that regard, and it's natural because of our proximity also."
Hopewell-Loudon isn't necessarily looking to play the spoiler role, coach Jeremy Nutter is looking to send his seniors out on a high note.
"I know it's our seniors' last opportunity to play football. I don't think we could ask for a better opponent than Calvert," Nutter said. "It's a huge rivalry, they're a good football team, a great stadium. I couldn't ask for a better setting for our seniors in their last game."
The game could very well come down to which team can establish its running game. Calvert and Hopewell-Loudon are ranked second and third respectively in the Midland Athletic League in rushing.
Calvert's defense will be focused on slowing down the MAL's leading rusher, Mark Bouillon, who as amassed 1,051 yards on the ground this year.
"Mark Bouillon is an excellent back, obviously, probably the best back we've seen all season, which says a lot since we've seen a lot of good ones," Fox said. "Obviously we're focused on trying to slow him down, but there's other weapons they have. Obviously we have to take him out of the game first."
The defense has been a strong part of Calvert's team all year. Though last week against Mohawk, the Senecas stepped it up even more, with a pair of second-half goal line stands that sealed a win.
"I think each and every week, win or lose, you have a lesson you learn, or moreso you grow," Fox said. "And last week we show how we grew defensively in terms of our backs against the wall several times in the red zone and we were able to stop them. We feel we grew from that and we could be a better football team from that overall."
Calvert's run game comes from a variety of sources. Quarterback Tyler Long ranks second behind only Bouillon, with 852 yards rushing on the season.
Dan Kwiat presents a thunder option to Long's lighting. The senior has powered for 715 yards this year, 469 coming in just the last three weeks.
Nutter admits it presents a host of problems coming up with a defensive game plan.
"It's kind of like, pick your poison with them," he said. "Their quarterback can hurt you with his legs, and he can throw it a long way. They got some receivers than can get behind you and that can lead to big plays. Then the wild card is Dan Kwiat. They can hand off to him 30 times a game and he can really break you down. ... It's not an easy task to figure out what to stop."
Fox admittedly has put a greater emphasis on the rushing attack in recent weeks, though some of that has been predicated on weather conditions, such as the all-day rain that turned Warrior Field at Mohawk in to a giant mud puddle last week.
"We've been trying to stick to that and at least set up the pass with that," Fox said of his run game. "Obviously with the weather, you really have to stick with the run game a lot more even if you do have those other weapons, but we feel that we're very capable of attacking the perimeter with our throwing. We just keep working at it each and every day and hope we're able to use that [tonight].
Kickoff is 7 p.m.
